Working Papers
19 publications
A. AI-Strategic Nodes and Structural Governance
2026
- EPINOVA-WP-A-2026-002 — Beyond Theater Effects: Perception-Driven Escalation and Loss-of-Control Thresholds in AI-Mediated Conflict
Working Paper · 2026-04-24 - EPINOVA-WP-A-2026-001 — Greenland as a Structural AI Strategic Node: Perception Integrity, Temporal Dominance, and the Arctic Reconfiguration of Algorithmic Power
Working Paper · 2026-01-15
D. Domestic Governance, Infrastructure, and Policy Friction
2026
- EPINOVA-WP-D-2026-002 — Why the South?: Institutional Friction and the Spatial Reorganization of Data Center Infrastructure in the United States
Working Paper · 2026-02-09 - EPINOVA-WP-D-2026-001 — When AI Infrastructure Is Optional but Governance Lock-In Is Not: An AI-SNI Local Governance Diagnostic of the Temple (GA) Data Center Proposal
Working Paper · 2026-02-02
F. Networked Conflict, Security, and Strategic Systems
2026
- EPINOVA-WP-F-2026-009 — A Systemic Theory of Escalation and the Loss-of-Control Threshold in Networked Conflict
Working Paper · 2026-03-20 - EPINOVA-WP-F-2026-008 — Who Loses Control First?: Threshold Competition in the 2026 U.S.–Israel–Iran Conflict
Working Paper · 2026-03-19 - EPINOVA-WP-F-2026-007 — Systemic Warfare in the Networked Age: Operational Systems, Information Competition, and Cumulative Pressure
Working Paper · 2026-03-17 - EPINOVA-WP-F-2026-006 — Industrial War and Network War: Operational Logics in the Russia–Ukraine War and the U.S.–Israel–Iran Conflict
Working Paper · 2026-03-11 - EPINOVA-WP-F-2026-005 — Cloud Under Fire: Hyperscale Data Centers and the Rise of Cyber-Physical Warfare
Working Paper · 2026-03-09 - EPINOVA-WP-F-2026-004 — Losing the Narrative: Communication Tempo, Expectation Asymmetry, and Perception Effects in the First Week of the 2026 U.S.–Israel–Iran War
Working Paper · 2026-03-07 - EPINOVA-WP-F-2026-003 — The Global Strategic Chain Reactions of the U.S.–Iran War: East Asia as the Next Plausible Capability-Revealing Theater
Working Paper · 2026-03-06 - EPINOVA-WP-F-2026-002 — Derivative-State Drift: A Continuous-Time Model of Constraint Erosion in Elite and Artificial Optimization Systems
Working Paper · 2026-02-16 - EPINOVA-WP-F-2026-001 — When Decapitation No Longer Matters: AI-Delegated Execution and the Potential Failure of Preemptive Strike Logic
Working Paper · 2026-01-15
2025
- EPINOVA-WP-F-2025-006 — Permanent Presence under Uncertainty: A Partially Observable Game-Theoretic Framework for Unmanned Systems, Cost–Frequency Dynamics, and Strategic Stability
Working Paper · 2025-12-29 - EPINOVA-WP-F-2025-004 — Survivor Governance: Authority Concentration under AI-Driven State Contraction
Working Paper · 2025-12-20 - EPINOVA-WP-F-2025-003 — Strategic Discontinuity in AI-Enabled Warfare: Machine-Speed vs Human-Speed OODA
Working Paper · 2025-12-12 - EPINOVA-WP-F-2025-002 — Unmanned Algorithmic Warfare and Human Role Reconfiguration: An International Law Perspective
Working Paper · 2025-12-04 - EPINOVA-WP-F-2025-001 — Single-/Few-Human–AI Firms and Single-/Few-Human–AI–Robot Firms: New Archetypes under the MMC Framework
Working Paper · 2025-11-15 - EPINOVA-WP-2025-001 — Gray-Zone Maritime Rights-Protection Strategy: Asymmetric Costs and Sustainable Presence, A Case Study of the China–Philippines Dispute over Scarborough Shoal
Working Paper · 2025-10-13